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MeSH Disease

Human Phenotype

Transmission

Seroprevalence
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    Characteristics and outcomes of a cohort of SARS-CoV-2 patients in the Province of Reggio Emilia, Italy

    Authors: Paolo Giorgi Rossi; Massimiliano Marino; Debora Formisano; Francesco Venturelli; Massimo Vicentini; Roberto Grilli; - The Reggio Emilia COVID-19 Working Group

    doi:10.1101/2020.04.13.20063545 Date: 2020-04-16 Source: medRxiv

    Objectives. To describe the age TRANS- and sex-specific prevalence SERO of SARS-CoV-2 disease MESHD (COVID-19) and its prognostic factors. Design. Population-based prospective cohort study on archive data. Setting. Preventive services and hospital care in the province of Reggio Emilia, Northern Italy. Participants. All 2653 symptomatic patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 from February 27 to April 2, 2020 in the province of Reggio Emilia. Main outcome measures. Hospitalization and death up to April 2, 2020. Results. Females TRANS had higher prevalence SERO of infection MESHD than males TRANS below age TRANS 50 (2.61 vs. 1.84 per 1000), but lower in older ages TRANS (16.49 vs. 20.86 per 1000 over age TRANS 80). Case fatality rate reached 20.7% (22/106) in cases with more than 4 weeks follow up. After adjusting for age TRANS and comorbidities, men had a higher risk of hospitalization (hazard ratio (HR) 1.4 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.2 to 1.6) and of death (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.1). Patients over age TRANS 80 compared to < age TRANS 50 had HR 7.1 (95% CI 5.4 to 9.3) and HR 27.8 (95% CI 12.5 to 61.7) for hospitalization and death MESHD, respectively. Immigrants had a higher risk of hospitalization (HR 1.3, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.81) than Italians and a similar risk of death MESHD. Risk of hospitalization and of death MESHD were higher in patients with heart failure MESHD (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.1and HR 2.3, 95% CI 1.6 to 3.2, respectively), arrhythmia HP arrhythmia MESHD (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9 and HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.3 to 2.5, respectively), dementia HP dementia MESHD (HR 1.2, 95% CI 0.9 to 1.8 and HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.8, respectively), ischemic MESHD heart disease MESHD (HR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.7 and HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.5, respectively), diabetes MESHD (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3 to 1.9 and HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.2, respectively), and hypertensions HP hypertensions MESHD(HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.6 and HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.1, respectively), while COPD increased the risk of hospitalization (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.4 to 2.5) but not of death MESHD (HR 1.1, 95% CI 0.7 to 1.7). Previous use of ACE inhibitors has no effect on risk of death (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.34) Conclusions. The mechanisms underlying these associations are mostly unknown. A deeper understanding of the causal chain from infection MESHD, disease onset, and immune response to outcomes may explain how these prognostic factors act.

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MeSH Disease
Human Phenotype
Transmission
Seroprevalence


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