Corpus overview


Overview

MeSH Disease

Pneumonia (1)


Human Phenotype

Transmission

Seroprevalence

There are no seroprevalence terms in the subcorpus

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    The effects of the clinical symptoms pneumonia MESHD pneumonia HP-confirmation strategy of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China

    Authors: Yanjin Wang; Pei Wang; Shudao Zhang; Hao Pan

    doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-28619/v1 Date: 2020-05-12 Source: ResearchSquare

    Motivated by the quick control in Wuhan, China, and the rapid spread in other countries of COVID-19, we investigate the questions that what is the turning point in Wuhan by quantifying the variety of basic reproductive number TRANS after the lockdown city. The answer may help the world to control the COVID-19 epidemic. A modified SEIR model is used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan city. Our model is calibrated by the hospitalized cases. The modeling result gives out that the means of basic reproductive numbers TRANS are 1.5517 (95% CI 1.1716-4.4283) for the period from Jan 25 to Feb 11, 2020, and 0.4738(95% CI 0.0997-0.8370) for the period from Feb 12 to Mar 10. The transmission TRANS rate fell HP after Feb 12, 2020 as a result of China’s COVID-19 strategy of keeping society distance and the medical support from all China, but principally because of the clinical symptoms to be used for the novel coronavirus pneumonia MESHD pneumonia HP (NCP) confirmation in Wuhan since Feb 12, 2020. Clinical diagnosis can quicken up NCP-confirmation such that the COVID-19 patients can be isolated without delay. So the clinical symptoms pneumonia MESHD pneumonia HP-confirmation is the turning point of the COVID-19 battle of Wuhan. The measure of clinical symptoms pneumonia MESHD pneumonia HP-confirmation in Wuhan has delayed the growth HP and reduced size of the COVID-19 epidemic, decreased the peak number of the hospitalized cases by 96% in Wuhan. Our modeling also indicates that the earliest start date of COVID-19 in Wuhan may be Nov 2, 2019.

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MeSH Disease
Human Phenotype
Transmission
Seroprevalence


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